Binomial theorem on probability


Understanding the Binomial Theorem in Probability

The Binomial Theorem is a fundamental principle in algebra that provides a way to expand expressions that are raised to a power. In probability theory, the binomial theorem is particularly useful when dealing with binomial distributions, which describe the number of successes in a fixed number of independent Bernoulli trials.

Binomial Distribution

A binomial distribution is a discrete probability distribution of the number of successes in a sequence of $n$ independent experiments, each asking a yes/no question, and each with its own boolean-valued outcome: success/yes/true/one (with probability $p$) or failure/no/false/zero (with probability $q=1-p$).

Characteristics of a Binomial Experiment

  • There are a fixed number of trials, $n$.
  • Each trial has only two possible outcomes: success or failure.
  • The probability of success, denoted by $p$, is the same for each trial.
  • The trials are independent, meaning the outcome of one trial does not affect the outcome of another.

Binomial Theorem

The binomial theorem states that for any positive integer $n$ and any real numbers $a$ and $b$, the expansion of $(a+b)^n$ is given by:

$$(a+b)^n = \sum_{k=0}^{n} \binom{n}{k} a^{n-k} b^k$$

where $\binom{n}{k}$ is the binomial coefficient, which can be calculated as:

$$\binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}$$

Binomial Probability Formula

In the context of probability, the binomial theorem can be used to find the probability of getting exactly $k$ successes in $n$ trials. The probability mass function (PMF) of a binomial distribution is given by:

$$P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k q^{n-k}$$

where:

  • $P(X = k)$ is the probability of getting exactly $k$ successes.
  • $n$ is the number of trials.
  • $k$ is the number of successes.
  • $p$ is the probability of success on a single trial.
  • $q = 1 - p$ is the probability of failure on a single trial.

Table of Differences and Important Points

Feature Binomial Theorem in Algebra Binomial Theorem in Probability
Context Expansion of algebraic expressions Distribution of successes in trials
Formula $(a+b)^n = \sum_{k=0}^{n} \binom{n}{k} a^{n-k} b^k$ $P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k q^{n-k}$
Variables $a$ and $b$ are real numbers $p$ and $q$ are probabilities of success and failure
Coefficients Binomial coefficients $\binom{n}{k}$ Binomial coefficients $\binom{n}{k}$
Application Simplifying expressions Calculating probabilities

Examples

Example 1: Algebraic Expansion

Expand $(x+y)^3$ using the binomial theorem.

$$(x+y)^3 = \binom{3}{0} x^3 y^0 + \binom{3}{1} x^2 y^1 + \binom{3}{2} x^1 y^2 + \binom{3}{3} x^0 y^3$$ $$= x^3 + 3x^2y + 3xy^2 + y^3$$

Example 2: Probability Calculation

What is the probability of getting exactly 2 heads in 4 coin tosses, assuming a fair coin?

Here, $n=4$, $k=2$, $p=0.5$, and $q=0.5$.

$$P(X = 2) = \binom{4}{2} (0.5)^2 (0.5)^{4-2}$$ $$= 6 \cdot 0.25 \cdot 0.25$$ $$= 0.375$$

So, the probability of getting exactly 2 heads in 4 coin tosses is 0.375.

By understanding the binomial theorem and its application in probability, students can solve a wide range of problems related to binomial distributions, which are common in various fields such as statistics, finance, and biology.